Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)
Closed March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$45K
Liquidity
$2K
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)
10 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
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EV per $ wagered
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EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
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Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)" at 7% YES / 93% NO. In the last 24 hours, $45K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 7%, NO 93%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1547830
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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