Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?
Closes March 22, 2026
⬡ Cross-venue entityPolymarket Price
Volume 24h
$0
Liquidity
$0
Expert Signal
1%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
16% YES
Mar 15, 2026
Trough probability
0% YES — lowest in period
Mar 15, 2026
Biggest move: -14.9pp
16% → 1%
Mar 15, 2026
Current
0% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 15, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?" at 0% YES / 100% NO. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 1%. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Chinese Grand Prix?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 0%, NO 100%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1558049
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