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Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 21?
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Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 21?

Closes March 21, 2026

Polymarket Price

94%YES
6%NO

Volume 24h

$9K

Liquidity

$14K

Bid / Ask

93% / 95%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

94%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence0%
methodmarket

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

91% YES

Mar 21, 2026

Current

92% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Mar 21, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 94%99%
Buy YES@ 94¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 6¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 21?" at 94% YES / 6% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 94%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 21, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-21). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 21?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 94%, NO 6%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1588577