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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?
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Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Closed March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

49%YES
51%NO

Volume 24h

$101

Liquidity

$1

Bid / Ask

0% / 96%

Spread

95.40pp

Expert Signal

49%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 49%99%
Buy YES@ 49¢
Edge

+0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 51¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.7% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?" at 49% YES / 51% NO. In the last 24 hours, $101 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 49%. The bid-ask spread is 95.40 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 49%, NO 51%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1607050