Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 23?
Closes March 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$32K
Liquidity
$20K
Bid / Ask
3% / 3%
Spread
0.30pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 23?
March
13 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
4% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Current
3% YES (+0.7pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-11.1%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 23?" at 2% YES / 98% NO. In the last 24 hours, $32K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 23?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 2%, NO 98%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1607593
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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