Markets/Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 25?

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 25?

Data as of Mar 25, 2026, 01:04 PM UTC

Closes March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

64%YES

37%NO

Volume 24h

$11K

Liquidity

$14K

Bid / Ask

52% / 55%

Spread

3.00pp

Expert Signal

64%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,600 on…

March

Full event →

between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 25?

64%

between $2,200 and $2,300 on March 25?

34%

between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 25?

between $1,900 and $2,000 on March 25?

between $2,500 and $2,600 on March 25?

greater than $2,600 on March 25?

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-3.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

69% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Current

66% YES (+2.0pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 64%99%

Buy YES@ 64¢

Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.4%

½ Kelly0.7%

Buy NO@ 37¢

-1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 25?" at 64% YES / 36% NO. In the last 24 hours, $11K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 64%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on March 25?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 64%, NO 36%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1640445

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