ForecastMind
Markets/Bulls vs. 76ers
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Bulls vs. 76ers

Closes March 25, 2026

Polymarket Price

32%YES
69%NO

Volume 24h

$258K

Liquidity

$217K

Bid / Ask

31% / 32%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

32%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

32% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Current

31% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 32%99%
Buy YES@ 32¢
Edge

+1.6%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.7%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 69¢

-0.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.6% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Bulls vs. 76ers" at 32% YES / 68% NO. In the last 24 hours, $258K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 32%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Bulls vs. 76ers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 32%, NO 68%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1651050