ForecastMind
Markets/Spurs vs. Grizzlies
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Spurs vs. Grizzlies

Closes March 26, 2026

Polymarket Price

93%YES
8%NO

Volume 24h

$257K

Liquidity

$386K

Bid / Ask

92% / 93%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

93%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spurs vs. Grizzlies

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+0.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

93% YES

Mar 25, 2026

Current

93% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Mar 25, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 93%99%
Buy YES@ 93¢
Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly6.7%
½ Kelly3.3%
Buy NO@ 7¢

-6.7%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 6.7%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spurs vs. Grizzlies" at 93% YES / 7% NO. In the last 24 hours, $257K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 93%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Spurs vs. Grizzlies." Prediction market snapshot: YES 93%, NO 7%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1651068