Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 27?

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 27?

Data as of Mar 27, 2026, 04:05 AM UTC

Closes March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

31%YES

69%NO

Volume 24h

$20K

Liquidity

$20K

Bid / Ask

21% / 23%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

31%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and…

March

Full event →

between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 27?

52%

between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 27?

22%

between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 27?

21%

between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 27?

between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 27?

between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 27?

between $74,000 and $76,000 on March 27?

between $76,000 and $78,000 on March 27?

8 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-3.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

24% YES

Mar 26, 2026

Biggest move: -5.5pp

26% → 21%

Mar 27, 2026

Current

21% YES (-5.5pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 31%99%

Buy YES@ 31¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 69¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 27?" at 31% YES / 69% NO. In the last 24 hours, $20K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 31%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on March 27?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 31%, NO 69%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1662852

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