Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers
Closed March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.2M
Liquidity
$1.0M
Bid / Ask
50% / 51%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
51%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
52% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Current
51% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.0%
EV per $ wagered
-1.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.2M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 51%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliers." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1666732
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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