Markets/Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 28?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 28?

Data as of Mar 26, 2026, 10:17 PM UTC

Closes March 28, 2026

Polymarket Price

97%YES

4%NO

Volume 24h

$15K

Liquidity

$23K

Bid / Ask

96% / 97%

Spread

0.30pp

Expert Signal

97%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?

March

Full event →

24 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-0.1pp

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 97%99%

Buy YES@ 97¢

Edge

+0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly14.3%

½ Kelly7.1%

Buy NO@ 4¢

-14.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.5% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 14.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 28?" at 97% YES / 3% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 97%. The bid-ask spread is 0.30 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 28?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 97%, NO 3%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1672997

Go Deeper

⬡

Entity Hub

All related markets, signals, and news in one view.

◎

Forecaster Signals

See all markets where experts diverge from Polymarket prices.

⇄

Venue Divergence

Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.

Correlated Markets

Markets whose prices move with this one.