ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5
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Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

65%YES
35%NO

Volume 24h

$816K

Liquidity

$12K

Bid / Ask

63% / 67%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

65%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+20.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Mar 21, 2026

Biggest move: +19.5pp

52% → 71%

Mar 22, 2026

Current

71% YES (+19.5pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 65%99%
Buy YES@ 65¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 35¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5" at 65% YES / 35% NO. In the last 24 hours, $816K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 65%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Pacers vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 65%, NO 35%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1674237