LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs
Closes March 22, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2.8M
Liquidity
$342K
Bid / Ask
46% / 47%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
47%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
28% YES
Mar 22, 2026
Current
28% YES (-1.0pp recent)
Mar 22, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2.8M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 47%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffs." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1674395
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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