ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
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Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

3%YES
97%NO

Volume 24h

$94

Liquidity

$430

Bid / Ask

0% / 9%

Spread

8.50pp

Expert Signal

3%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Game 3: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?

Full event →

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 3%99%
Buy YES@ 3¢

-10.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 97¢
Edge

+0.4%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly10.4%
½ Kelly5.2%
Buy NO+0.4% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 10.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?" at 3% YES / 97% NO. In the last 24 hours, $94 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 3%. The bid-ask spread is 8.50 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Game 4: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 3%, NO 97%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1674465