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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?
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Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

49%YES
52%NO

Volume 24h

$124

Liquidity

$1

Expert Signal

49%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

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Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 49%99%
Buy YES@ 49¢
Edge

+1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.0%
½ Kelly0.5%
Buy NO@ 52¢

-1.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.0% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.0%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?" at 49% YES / 51% NO. In the last 24 hours, $124 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 49%. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 49%, NO 51%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1677894