Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars
Closed March 26, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$3.8M
Liquidity
$3.3M
Bid / Ask
43% / 44%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
44%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
41% YES
Mar 25, 2026
Current
44% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars" at 44% YES / 56% NO. In the last 24 hours, $3.8M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 44%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougars." Prediction market snapshot: YES 44%, NO 56%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1678319
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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