ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5
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Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5

Closed March 22, 2026

Polymarket Price

90%YES
10%NO

Volume 24h

$86K

Liquidity

$1K

Bid / Ask

88% / 98%

Spread

10.00pp

Expert Signal

93%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+41.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

50% YES

Mar 22, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

49%

Mar 22, 2026

Biggest move: +44.5pp

47% → 92%

Mar 22, 2026

Current

92% YES (+44.5pp recent)

Mar 22, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 90%99%
Buy YES@ 90¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 10¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5" at 90% YES / 10% NO. In the last 24 hours, $86K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 93%. The bid-ask spread is 10.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 22, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-22). "Trail Blazers vs. Nuggets: O/U 238.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 90%, NO 10%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1684310