Markets/Spread: Clippers (-11.5)

Spread: Clippers (-11.5)

Data as of Mar 24, 2026, 01:25 AM UTC

Closes March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

59%YES

42%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$13K

Bid / Ask

59% / 60%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

59%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp

confidence21%

methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spread: Clippers (-13.5)

Full event →

Spread: Clippers (-11.5)

60%

Spread: Clippers (-12.5)

56%

Spread: Clippers (-13.5)

52%

3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

+2.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

57% YES

Mar 23, 2026

Current

59% YES (+2.0pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

Your probability estimate

1%Market: YES 59%99%

Buy YES@ 59¢

Edge

+0.9%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.2%

½ Kelly0.6%

Buy NO@ 42¢

-1.2%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES—+0.9% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.2%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

Entry threshold

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

From date

To date

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Clippers (-11.5)" at 59% YES / 41% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 59%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Spread: Clippers (-11.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 59%, NO 41%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1686700

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