Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 2.5
Closes March 23, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$160
Liquidity
$3K
Bid / Ask
16% / 31%
Spread
15.00pp
Expert Signal
24%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Marcus Smart: Points O/U 8.5
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 2.5" at 24% YES / 76% NO. In the last 24 hours, $160 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 24%. The bid-ask spread is 15.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Marcus Smart: Rebounds O/U 2.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 24%, NO 76%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1688522
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