1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
Closes March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$45K
Bid / Ask
47% / 53%
Spread
6.00pp
Expert Signal
50%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Nets vs. Trail Blazers
11 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
49% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
50%
Mar 24, 2026
Current
50% YES (+1.0pp recent)
Mar 24, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 6.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1691549
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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