ForecastMind
Markets/Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5
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Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5

Closes March 23, 2026

Polymarket Price

64%YES
37%NO

Volume 24h

$803

Liquidity

$74

Bid / Ask

57% / 70%

Spread

13.00pp

Expert Signal

64%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spurs vs. Heat

Full event →

6 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 64%99%
Buy YES@ 64¢
Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.4%
½ Kelly0.7%
Buy NO@ 37¢

-1.4%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.4%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5" at 64% YES / 36% NO. In the last 24 hours, $803 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 64%. The bid-ask spread is 13.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 23, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Spurs vs. Heat: 1H O/U 122.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 64%, NO 36%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1691791