Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)
Closed March 24, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$15K
Liquidity
$66K
Bid / Ask
46% / 47%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
47%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
47% YES
Mar 23, 2026
Current
48% YES (+0.5pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Rockets (-9.5)" at 47% YES / 53% NO. In the last 24 hours, $15K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 47%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Spread: Rockets (-9.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 47%, NO 53%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1693444
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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