ForecastMind
Markets/Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5
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Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5

Closes March 24, 2026

Polymarket Price

54%YES
46%NO

Volume 24h

$6K

Liquidity

$19K

Bid / Ask

56% / 57%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

57%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Kings vs. Hornets

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

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Price History

-1.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

57% YES

Mar 24, 2026

Current

56% YES (-1.5pp recent)

Mar 24, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 54%99%
Buy YES@ 54¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 46¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 57%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 24, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-24). "Kings vs. Hornets: O/U 228.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1696751