Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
Closes March 25, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$2K
Liquidity
$12K
Bid / Ask
43% / 44%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
43%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Spread: Lakers (-10.5)
5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
43% YES
Mar 25, 2026
Current
44% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 25, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.1%
EV per $ wagered
-0.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Lakers (-12.5)" at 44% YES / 56% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 43%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-25). "Spread: Lakers (-12.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 44%, NO 56%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1709990
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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