Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves
Closes April 3, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1.2M
Liquidity
$19K
Bid / Ask
40% / 41%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
36%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves
4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
43% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Biggest move: -27.5pp
31% → 4%
Mar 28, 2026
Current
4% YES (-27.5pp recent)
Mar 28, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-7.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves" at 4% YES / 96% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1.2M has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 36%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 3, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves." Prediction market snapshot: YES 4%, NO 96%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1711534
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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