ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Wizards vs. Jazz: 1H Moneyline
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Wizards vs. Jazz: 1H Moneyline

Closed March 26, 2026

Polymarket Price

62%YES
39%NO

Volume 24h

$241

Liquidity

$114

Bid / Ask

51% / 58%

Spread

7.00pp

Expert Signal

62%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 62%99%
Buy YES@ 62¢
Edge

+0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly1.3%
½ Kelly0.6%
Buy NO@ 39¢

-1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+0.8% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 1.3%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Wizards vs. Jazz: 1H Moneyline" at 62% YES / 38% NO. In the last 24 hours, $241 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 62%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 26, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Wizards vs. Jazz: 1H Moneyline." Prediction market snapshot: YES 62%, NO 38%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1713369