Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5
Closed March 25, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$14K
Liquidity
$6K
Bid / Ask
71% / 93%
Spread
22.00pp
Expert Signal
83%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Thunder vs. Celtics
15 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
53% YES
Mar 25, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
44%
Mar 26, 2026
Biggest move: -10.5pp
55% → 44%
Mar 26, 2026
Current
44% YES (-10.5pp recent)
Mar 26, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.6%
EV per $ wagered
-2.9%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5" at 83% YES / 17% NO. In the last 24 hours, $14K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 83%. The bid-ask spread is 22.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 25, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-26). "Thunder vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 83%, NO 17%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1720643
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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