ForecastMind
Markets/Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
Share on X

Spread: Celtics (-7.5)

Closes March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

41%YES
59%NO

Volume 24h

$2K

Liquidity

$18K

Bid / Ask

40% / 42%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

40%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spread: Celtics (-4.5)

Full event →

4 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

41% YES

Mar 27, 2026

Current

40% YES (+0.5pp recent)

Mar 27, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 41%99%
Buy YES@ 41¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 59¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Celtics (-7.5)" at 41% YES / 59% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 40%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Spread: Celtics (-7.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 41%, NO 59%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1726006