ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5
Share on X

Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5

Closed March 28, 2026

Polymarket Price

6%YES
95%NO

Volume 24h

$8K

Liquidity

$7K

Expert Signal

6%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

-49.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

56% YES

Mar 28, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

50%

Mar 28, 2026

Biggest move: -43.0pp

50% → 7%

Mar 28, 2026

Current

7% YES (-43.0pp recent)

Mar 28, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 6%99%
Buy YES@ 6¢
Edge

+9.1%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.5%
½ Kelly0.3%
Buy NO@ 95¢

-0.5%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+9.1% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.5%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5" at 6% YES / 94% NO. In the last 24 hours, $8K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 6%. The market closes on March 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Mavericks vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 6%, NO 94%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1738291