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Markets/Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline
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Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline

Closes March 27, 2026

Polymarket Price

40%YES
61%NO

Volume 24h

$111

Liquidity

$43K

Bid / Ask

38% / 42%

Spread

4.00pp

Expert Signal

40%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

No historical data yet

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 40%99%
Buy YES@ 40¢
Edge

+1.3%

EV per $ wagered

Full Kelly0.8%
½ Kelly0.4%
Buy NO@ 61¢

-0.8%

EV per $ wagered

Buy YES+1.3% EV per dollar wagered·Kelly 0.8%

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline" at 40% YES / 60% NO. In the last 24 hours, $111 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 40%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 27, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Hawks vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline." Prediction market snapshot: YES 40%, NO 60%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1738921