Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5
Closes March 28, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$1K
Liquidity
$3K
Bid / Ask
44% / 55%
Spread
11.00pp
Expert Signal
50%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Luka Dončić: Points O/U 33.5
3 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
33% YES
Mar 27, 2026
Biggest move: +16.5pp
33% → 49%
Mar 27, 2026
Peak probability
50% YES — highest in period
Mar 27, 2026
Current
50% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 27, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5" at 50% YES / 50% NO. In the last 24 hours, $1K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 50%. The bid-ask spread is 11.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-27). "Luka Dončić: Rebounds O/U 7.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 50%, NO 50%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1740011
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Venue Divergence
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Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
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