ForecastMind
Markets/Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5
Share on X

Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5

Closes March 28, 2026

Polymarket Price

49%YES
51%NO

Volume 24h

$19K

Liquidity

$22K

Bid / Ask

48% / 50%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

49%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Event Distribution

Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)

Full event →

5 related outcomes · highlighted = this market

Price History

Export CSV

Price History

+0.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Mar 28, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

50%

Mar 28, 2026

Current

49% YES (-1.0pp recent)

Mar 28, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 49%99%
Buy YES@ 49¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 51¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5" at 49% YES / 51% NO. In the last 24 hours, $19K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 49%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on March 28, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-03-28). "Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyes: O/U 138.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 49%, NO 51%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1740181