Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
FM Estimate
42%Market Price
42%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 45 active outcome markets. Chong Won-oh: 89%, Peter Taylor: 77%, Chun Jae-soo: 74%.
Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?" at 42% YES / 58% NO. In the last 24 hours, $549 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 41%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on May 25, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-20). "Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 42%, NO 58%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1839862