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Markets/Will Peter Taylor win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?
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Will Peter Taylor win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?

77%YES
23%NO
Vol 24h$174
Liquidity$11K
Bid / Ask75% / 78%
Spread3.00pp
ClosesMay 7, 2026

FM Estimate

77%

Market Price

77%
↓ Underpriced 0.7pp
Macro fundamentals+3.0pp
Historical patterns-1.0pp
low confidence · 2 signals

Wikipedia Attention

Outcome Markets45 markets

This event has 45 active outcome markets. Chong Won-oh: 89%, Peter Taylor: 77%, Chun Jae-soo: 74%.

Peter Taylor win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?

77%

Price History · 30 days

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Price History

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✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Will Peter Taylor win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?" at 77% YES / 23% NO. In the last 24 hours, $174 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 77%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00pp. The market closes on May 7, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-20). "Will Peter Taylor win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 77%, NO 23%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/2008777