Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
FM Estimate
57%Market Price
57%Wikipedia Attention
This event has 45 active outcome markets. Chong Won-oh: 89%, Peter Taylor: 77%, Chun Jae-soo: 74%.
Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
Price History · 30 days
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✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?" at 56% YES / 44% NO. In the last 24 hours, $2K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 56%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00pp. The market closes on May 25, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-20). "Will Simone Venturini win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 56%, NO 44%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1839863