Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 12)
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$6K
Liquidity
$4K
Expert Signal
98%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 12)" at 98% YES / 2% NO. In the last 24 hours, $6K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 98%. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 12)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 98%, NO 2%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1847719
This event has 11 active outcome markets. Trump say "Make America Great Again" this wee: 98%, Trump say "Moon" this week? (April 12): 87%, Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12): 85%.
Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
92% YES
Apr 7, 2026
Biggest move: +5.1pp
93% → 99%
Apr 7, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Apr 7, 2026
Current
97% YES (-2.1pp recent)
Apr 7, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-0.1%
EV per $ wagered
+5.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this