Will Trump say "Boots on the ground" this week? (April 12)
Closes April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$58
Liquidity
$206
Bid / Ask
24% / 53%
Spread
29.00pp
Expert Signal
39%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Boots on the ground" this week? (April 12)" at 39% YES / 61% NO. In the last 24 hours, $58 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 39%. The bid-ask spread is 29.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will Trump say "Boots on the ground" this week? (April 12)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 39%, NO 61%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1847726
This event has 11 active outcome markets. Trump say "Make America Great Again" this wee: 100%, Trump say "Moon" this week? (April 12): 98%, Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12): 85%.
Trump say "Boots on the ground" this week? (April 12)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.3%
EV per $ wagered
-0.8%
EV per $ wagered
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Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this