Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 12)
Closes April 12, 2026
ForecastMind sees this -1.4pp below current market price; market at 25% may be overpriced with macro signals showing BTC -0.6% ↓, ETH -0.5% ↓, S&P +0.2% ↑ (low confidence — limited signal data).
Signal breakdown
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$731
Liquidity
$384
Bid / Ask
21% / 29%
Spread
8.00pp
Expert Signal
25%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 12)" at 25% YES / 75% NO. In the last 24 hours, $731 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 25%. The bid-ask spread is 8.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-07). "Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 12)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 25%, NO 75%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1847740
This event has 11 active outcome markets. Trump say "Make America Great Again" this wee: 99%, Trump say "Moon" this week? (April 12): 98%, Trump say "Two weeks" this week? (April 12): 85%.
Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (April 12)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this