Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 249.5
Closed April 4, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$17K
Liquidity
$23K
Bid / Ask
43% / 47%
Spread
4.00pp
Expert Signal
41%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 249.5" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $17K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 41%. The bid-ask spread is 4.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 249.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1853750
This event has 6 active outcome markets. Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 249.5: 51%, Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 245.5: 51%, Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 246.5: 48%.
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 249.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
45% YES
Apr 4, 2026
Current
44% YES (-1.5pp recent)
Apr 4, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this