ForecastMind

Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 246.5
Share on X

Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 246.5

Closed April 4, 2026

Polymarket Price

54%YES
46%NO

Volume 24h

$51K

Liquidity

$10K

Bid / Ask

53% / 58%

Spread

5.00pp

Expert Signal

54%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 246.5" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $51K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 5.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 4, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 246.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1861378

Outcome Markets10 markets

This event has 10 active outcome markets. Wizards vs. Heat: 1H O/U 127.5: 74%, Wizards vs. Heat: 1H O/U 128.5: 72%, Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 245.5: 70%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.0pp

Key Moments

First recorded

49% YES

Apr 4, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

53%

Apr 4, 2026

Current

50% YES (-3.0pp recent)

Apr 4, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 54%99%
Buy YES@ 54¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 46¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this