Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 4?
Closes April 5, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$9K
Liquidity
$12K
Bid / Ask
1% / 2%
Spread
1.50pp
Expert Signal
2%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 4?" at 1% YES / 99% NO. In the last 24 hours, $9K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 2%. The bid-ask spread is 1.50 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 4?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 1%, NO 99%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1854182
This event has 19 active outcome markets. Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4?: 100%, Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?: 74%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 33%.
Bitcoin reach $70,000 on April 4?
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✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
-20.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this