Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 4?
Closes April 5, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$20K
Liquidity
$12K
Bid / Ask
21% / 25%
Spread
3.40pp
Expert Signal
23%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 4?" at 23% YES / 77% NO. In the last 24 hours, $20K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 23%. The bid-ask spread is 3.40 percentage points. The market closes on April 5, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-04). "Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 4?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 23%, NO 77%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1854194
This event has 19 active outcome markets. Bitcoin Up or Down on April 4?: 100%, Bitcoin reach $70,000 in April?: 74%, Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?: 33%.
Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 4?
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-0.3%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this