Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Closes April 21, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$742K
Liquidity
$44K
Bid / Ask
73% / 74%
Spread
1.00pp
Expert Signal
54%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $742K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 54%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 21, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-15). "Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1918061
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8: 80%, Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9: 60%, Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 54%.
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
43% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
51%
Apr 15, 2026
Biggest move: +9.0pp
42% → 51%
Apr 15, 2026
Current
51% YES (+9.0pp recent)
Apr 15, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this