Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
Closed April 14, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$107K
Liquidity
$101
Bid / Ask
57% / 60%
Spread
3.00pp
Expert Signal
41%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5" at 77% YES / 23% NO. In the last 24 hours, $107K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 41%. The bid-ask spread is 3.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-15). "Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 77%, NO 23%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1973031
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9: 77%, Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8: 48%, Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 42%.
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
55% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Trough probability
36% YES — lowest in period
Apr 14, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
36%
Apr 14, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
72%
Apr 15, 2026
Biggest move: +36.0pp
36% → 72%
Apr 15, 2026
Current
72% YES (+36.0pp recent)
Apr 15, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this