Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
Closed April 14, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$7K
Liquidity
$15K
Bid / Ask
20% / 27%
Spread
7.00pp
Expert Signal
28%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)" at 28% YES / 72% NO. In the last 24 hours, $7K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 28%. The bid-ask spread is 7.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-15). "Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)." Prediction market snapshot: YES 28%, NO 72%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1972304
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8: 80%, Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9: 60%, Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 47%.
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
40% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Biggest move: -8.0pp
40% → 32%
Apr 14, 2026
Current
28% YES (-4.0pp recent)
Apr 15, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+1.8%
EV per $ wagered
-0.7%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this