Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
Closed April 14, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$5K
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
63% / 77%
Spread
14.00pp
Expert Signal
52%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5" at 80% YES / 20% NO. In the last 24 hours, $5K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 52%. The bid-ask spread is 14.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 14, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-15). "Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 80%, NO 20%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1972305
This event has 5 active outcome markets. Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8: 80%, Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: 42%, Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5): 40%.
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 8.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
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Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
64% YES
Apr 14, 2026
Trough probability
58% YES — lowest in period
Apr 14, 2026
Biggest move: +29.5pp
58% → 88%
Apr 15, 2026
Current
88% YES (+29.5pp recent)
Apr 15, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
+0.0%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this