ForecastMind
Markets/Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5
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Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5

Closes April 12, 2026

Polymarket Price

62%YES
38%NO

Volume 24h

$10K

Liquidity

$18K

Bid / Ask

60% / 62%

Spread

2.00pp

Expert Signal

61%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5" at 62% YES / 38% NO. In the last 24 hours, $10K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 61%. The bid-ask spread is 2.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-12). "Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 62%, NO 38%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1943894

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. Magic vs. Celtics: 85%, Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5: 62%, Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5: 58%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

+1.5pp

Key Moments

First recorded

59% YES

Apr 12, 2026

Current

60% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 12, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 62%99%
Buy YES@ 62¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 38¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this