Market Closed
This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5
Closed April 12, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$867
Liquidity
$13K
Bid / Ask
7% / 88%
Spread
81.00pp
Expert Signal
47%
Bayesian YES estimate
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5" at 54% YES / 46% NO. In the last 24 hours, $867 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 47%. The bid-ask spread is 81.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 54%, NO 46%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1958706
This event has 16 active outcome markets. Magic vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline: 100%, Magic vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 112.5: 100%, Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5: 94%.
Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 220.5
Topic Intelligence
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Price History
Export CSVPrice History
Key Moments
First recorded
54% YES
Apr 12, 2026
Trough probability
47% YES — lowest in period
Apr 12, 2026
Dropped below 50% — now favored NO
47%
Apr 12, 2026
Crossed 50% — now favored YES
80%
Apr 13, 2026
Biggest move: +33.5pp
47% → 80%
Apr 13, 2026
Peak probability
100% YES — highest in period
Apr 13, 2026
Current
100% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Apr 13, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+0.9%
EV per $ wagered
-1.1%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this