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Market Closed

This market has resolved and is no longer trading. Prices shown are the final recorded values.

Markets/Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5
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Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5

Closed April 12, 2026

Polymarket Price

51%YES
49%NO

Volume 24h

$546

Liquidity

$28K

Bid / Ask

51% / 52%

Spread

1.00pp

Expert Signal

52%

Bayesian YES estimate

vs market+0.0pp
confidence21%
methodensemble

Research Summary

Prediction markets currently price "Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5" at 51% YES / 49% NO. In the last 24 hours, $546 has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 52%. The bid-ask spread is 1.00 percentage points. The market closes on April 12, 2026.

Cite this snapshot

ForecastMind (2026-04-14). "Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 221.5." Prediction market snapshot: YES 51%, NO 49%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/1958705

Outcome Markets7 markets

This event has 7 active outcome markets. Magic vs. Celtics: 85%, Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5: 62%, Magic vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5: 61%.

Topic Intelligence

✦ AI Analysis

Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.

Price History

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Price History

-50.9pp

Key Moments

First recorded

51% YES

Apr 12, 2026

Trough probability

0% YES — lowest in period

Apr 13, 2026

Dropped below 50% — now favored NO

44%

Apr 12, 2026

Crossed 50% — now favored YES

71%

Apr 13, 2026

Biggest move: -71.0pp

71% → 0%

Apr 13, 2026

Peak probability

71% YES — highest in period

Apr 13, 2026

Current

0% YES (+0.0pp recent)

Apr 13, 2026

Order Book (YES)

Expected Value Calculator

%
1%Market: YES 51%99%
Buy YES@ 51¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Buy NO@ 49¢

+0.0%

EV per $ wagered

Your estimate matches the market price — no edge on either side.

EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.

Backtest Strategy

50%

Enter when YES price ≤ this