Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Closes June 30, 2026
Polymarket Price
Volume 24h
$18K
Liquidity
$231K
Bid / Ask
20% / 20%
Spread
0.20pp
Expert Signal
20%
Bayesian YES estimate
✦ AI Analysis
Synthesizes price, cross-venue gaps, Bayesian edge, and event context into a concise brief.
Event Distribution
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
2026
31 related outcomes · highlighted = this market
Price History
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Key Moments
First recorded
23% YES
Mar 1, 2026
Biggest move: +10.6pp
21% → 32%
Mar 7, 2026
Peak probability
32% YES — highest in period
Mar 7, 2026
Current
21% YES (+0.0pp recent)
Mar 23, 2026
Order Book (YES)
Expected Value Calculator
+2.0%
EV per $ wagered
-0.5%
EV per $ wagered
EV = return on investment if your probability is correct. Kelly = optimal bankroll fraction (½ Kelly is a common conservative choice). Fees not included.
Backtest Strategy
Enter when YES price ≤ this
Research Summary
Prediction markets currently price "Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?" at 20% YES / 80% NO. In the last 24 hours, $18K has been traded. A Bayesian estimate puts the probability at 20%. The bid-ask spread is 0.20 percentage points. The market closes on June 30, 2026.
Cite this snapshot
ForecastMind (2026-03-23). "Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?." Prediction market snapshot: YES 20%, NO 80%. Retrieved from https://forecastmind.org/markets/553828
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Forecaster Signals
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Venue Divergence
Where Polymarket, Kalshi, and PredictIt disagree most.
Correlated Markets
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Event Cluster
All markets about the same event across venues.
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Full price history for your own analysis.